Commercial registrations and activity

Momentum continues for commercials

10 Mar 2022

Our take on the latest Commercial registrations and activity (Thu 10 Mar 2022)

New light commercials up 28%pa in February
New medium commercials up 42%pa
New very heavy commercials up 38%pa

The key numbers...

  • Total new commercial registrations grew 29%pa in February, as all weight classes saw large growth in registration numbers.
  • New light commercials were up 28%, new mediums were up 42%, and new very heavy commercials were up 38%pa.
  • Total road user chargers edged down 0.1%pa in February and have now plateaued around pre-pandemic levels.

Total road user charges

Annual running total, millions of kms
4175

...and our reaction

  • February was a strong month for commercial registrations. With the introduction of fees on high emission vehicles from 1 April, there will be some registrations brought forward into the preceding months.
  • Hard-hitting sanctions imposed by numerous governments on Russian oil and gas will raise fuel prices even more and mean they remain extortionately high for the foreseeable future. This increase might put off some private ute buyers and will shift the market towards fuel efficiency.
  • The tight labour market and strength in the construction and primary industries are leading causes of high commercial registrations at the moment. However, rising inflation, higher interest rates, and outward migration pose threats to commercial vehicle activity over the next couple of years.