Articles

Surging net migration in late 2023 and falling mortgage rates in late 2024 led several forecasters to predict a strong recovery in house prices during each of the following years.

The pace of supplier cost increases to Foodstuffs supermarkets was the same in the year to December as it was in November, with the Infometrics-Foodstuffs New Zealand Grocery Supplier Cost Index (GSCI) showing an average 2.4% increase in what suppliers charged in December 2025, compared to a year earlier.

Financial markets have gone on a bit of a tear recently, shifting from one extreme to the other and now seeing interest rate hikes coming sooner and stronger than either the Reserve Bank’s or economists’ expectations.

Economic data doesn’t usually feature on the Christmas wish list, but it does have a habit of showing up at the checkout. For many households, the festive season is as much about budgets as it is about BBQs, pavlovas, and full fridges for visiting family.

Chief Forecaster Gareth Kiernan has penned Infometrics’ traditional Christmas Carol. Sung to the tune of Frank Sinatra's Christmas song “Let it Snow”.

The pace of supplier cost increases to Foodstuffs supermarkets slowed slightly last month, with the Infometrics-Foodstuffs New Zealand Grocery Supplier Cost Index (GSCI) showing an average 2.4% increase in what suppliers charged in November 2025, compared to a year earlier.

After a tough couple of years, there are early signs that the downturn in construction employment might be moderating.

Conditions in the labour market have deteriorated over the past 18-24 months, as the unemployment rate has risen from 4.0% in December 2023 to 5.1% just a year later. The unemployment rate has continued to rise in 2025, reaching 5.3% in the September quarter, up from 5.2% in June.

When we publish the 2025 REPs and SPs early in 2026, we will make larger than usual revisions due to a raft of changes to our methodologies. This article describes the changes we are making and what they will mean for you.