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Analysis

Middle East oil price spike could hamper inflation cooling

Wellington Fuel Station - August 2023
Analysis

Middle East oil price spike could hamper inflation cooling

Major conflict has broken out in the Middle East, following Israeli and US airstrikes against Iran, and followed by retaliation by Iran against both countries, as well as others in the region.
Thu 5 Mar 2026Brad Olsen🕓 5 min
Analysis

Mixed transport cost pressures, with economy on the cusp of recovery

SH1 Brynderwyn Hills Worksite - August 2023
Analysis

Mixed transport cost pressures, with economy on the cusp of recovery

Cost pressures for the transport industry remained mixed in the December 2025 quarter, with decreasing costs for some inputs but continued pressure across other categories.
Tue 3 Mar 2026Gareth Kiernan🕓 3 min
Chart of the month

House prices haven’t fallen everywhere

Chart of the month

House prices haven’t fallen everywhere

Nationwide average house prices are still sitting about 15% below their 2021 peak, falling during 2022 and 2023 as mortgage rates rose, and then largely tracking sideways over the last 2½ years.
Fri 27 Feb 2026Gareth Kiernan🕓 2 min
Media release

Economic recovery builds momentum in the north

Wairarapa Farm Cow
Media release

Economic recovery builds momentum in the north

New Zealand’s economic recovery is building momentum, with higher activity in all but one region in the December 2025 quarter, according to Infometrics’ latest monitoring of regional economies.
Thu 26 Feb 2026Nick Brunsdon🕓 2 min
Analysis

Have tougher benefit sanctions worked?

Traffic lights on city street
Analysis

Have tougher benefit sanctions worked?

Eighteen months ago in August 2024, the Government introduced a traffic light system and new sanctions for beneficiaries who do not meet their obligations. Here we look at how the number of benefit sanctions has changed since the measures were introduced, unpack which groups are over-represented in the sanctions numbers, and discuss whether the policy has worked.
Tue 24 Feb 2026Rob Heyes🕓 9 min
Analysis

Better population estimates with the Census

Census pack with letter delivered by mail
Analysis

Better population estimates with the Census

Buried amongst the numerous post-census data releases is a low profile yet critical release – the post enumeration survey (PES). From the PES, Stats NZ revises their historical population estimates.
Thu 19 Feb 2026Nick Brunsdon🕓 5 min
Media release

Costs from grocery suppliers to supermarkets increase 2.3%pa in January

Foodstuffs_Supplies_2022_Resized.original.jpg
Media release

Costs from grocery suppliers to supermarkets increase 2.3%pa in January

The pace of supplier cost increases to Foodstuffs supermarkets moderated slightly in the year to January, with the Infometrics-Foodstuffs New Zealand Grocery Supplier Cost Index (GSCI) showing an average 2.3% increase in what suppliers charged in January 2026, compared to a year earlier.
Mon 16 Feb 2026Brad Olsen🕓 3 min
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Analysis

Methodology for the Infometrics Freight Index

Turning Truck
Analysis

Methodology for the Infometrics Freight Index

Freight volumes provide one of the clearest real-time signals of activity in the New Zealand economy.
Thu 12 Feb 2026Brad Olsen🕓 8 min
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Analysis

Measuring New Zealand’s freight task with a new volume indicator

Lyttelton Port
Analysis

Measuring New Zealand’s freight task with a new volume indicator

Freight volumes provide one of the clearest real-time signals of activity in the New Zealand economy.
Thu 12 Feb 2026Brad Olsen🕓 3 min
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Analysis

Highlighting recent trends in mortgage lending

Analysis

Highlighting recent trends in mortgage lending

The housing market had a soft-ish finish to 2025, with stock levels still elevated, monthly sales roughly in line with the average of the last year, and prices down 0.4% since the end of 2024.
Thu 5 Feb 2026Gareth Kiernan🕓 6 min