Building work put in place

I'm not angry, just disappointed

5 Dec 2018

Our take on the latest Building work put in place (Wed 5 Dec 2018)

Non-residential construction
Social, cultural, and religious construction
Canterbury residential construction
Unchanged from June (seasonally adjusted)
34%pa in September
-14%pa in September

The key numbers...

  • Auckland continues to underperform expectations, highlighting the capacity constraints in the region limiting growth.
  • Positive growth in non-residential construction in Canterbury is likely to be short lived, as a slight upward blip was expected but is forecast to be followed by further declines. 
  • Around the rest of the country, non-residential activity is expected to pick up by 2020, although capacity constraints could lead to more moderate growth over a longer period.

Work put in place

Annual % changes, Sept 1999 prices
3010

...and our reaction

  • Residential construction in the September quarter recorded its slowest annual growth since March 2012, at 0.8%pa. 
  • Auckland performed below forecast in both the residential and non-residential construction sectors, with growth rates of 16%pa and 11%pa respectively in the September quarter.
  • Work put in place in both Wellington and Waikato fell from the previous year, down 21%pa and 5.0%pa respectively. Both of these performances were significantly worse than anticipated.
  • In the non-residential construction sector, shops, factories, and offices all performed worse than expected, with annual changes of 18%, 14%, and -15% respectively. 
  • Annual growth in non-residential work put in place in Canterbury was positive, at 4.0%pa, for the first time since March 2017.