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Analysis

Construction employment to lift, but slowly, with a changing mix

Analysis

Construction employment to lift, but slowly, with a changing mix

We have recently updated our detailed forecasts of industry and regional economic activity and employment for the next five years.
Thu 12 Mar 2026Gareth Kiernan๐Ÿ•“ 3 min
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Analysis

Middle East oil price spike could hamper inflation cooling

Wellington Fuel Station - August 2023
Analysis

Middle East oil price spike could hamper inflation cooling

Major conflict has broken out in the Middle East, following Israeli and US airstrikes against Iran, and followed by retaliation by Iran against both countries, as well as others in the region.
Thu 5 Mar 2026Brad Olsen๐Ÿ•“ 5 min
Analysis

Mixed transport cost pressures, with economy on the cusp of recovery

SH1 Brynderwyn Hills Worksite - August 2023
Analysis

Mixed transport cost pressures, with economy on the cusp of recovery

Cost pressures for the transport industry remained mixed in the December 2025 quarter, with decreasing costs for some inputs but continued pressure across other categories.
Tue 3 Mar 2026Gareth Kiernan๐Ÿ•“ 3 min
Analysis

Have tougher benefit sanctions worked?

Traffic lights on city street
Analysis

Have tougher benefit sanctions worked?

Eighteen months ago in August 2024, the Government introduced a traffic light system and new sanctions for beneficiaries who do not meet their obligations. Here we look at how the number of benefit sanctions has changed since the measures were introduced, unpack which groups are over-represented in the sanctions numbers, and discuss whether the policy has worked.
Tue 24 Feb 2026Rob Heyes๐Ÿ•“ 9 min
Analysis

Better population estimates with the Census

Census pack with letter delivered by mail
Analysis

Better population estimates with the Census

Buried amongst the numerous post-census data releases is a low profile yet critical release โ€“ the post enumeration survey (PES). From the PES, Stats NZ revises their historical population estimates.
Thu 19 Feb 2026Nick Brunsdon๐Ÿ•“ 5 min
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Analysis

Methodology for the Infometrics Freight Index

Turning Truck
Analysis

Methodology for the Infometrics Freight Index

Freight volumes provide one of the clearest real-time signals of activity in the New Zealand economy.
Thu 12 Feb 2026Brad Olsen๐Ÿ•“ 8 min
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Analysis

Measuring New Zealandโ€™s freight task with a new volume indicator

Lyttelton Port
Analysis

Measuring New Zealandโ€™s freight task with a new volume indicator

Freight volumes provide one of the clearest real-time signals of activity in the New Zealand economy.
Thu 12 Feb 2026Brad Olsen๐Ÿ•“ 3 min
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Analysis

Highlighting recent trends in mortgage lending

Analysis

Highlighting recent trends in mortgage lending

The housing market had a soft-ish finish to 2025, with stock levels still elevated, monthly sales roughly in line with the average of the last year, and prices down 0.4% since the end of 2024.
Thu 5 Feb 2026Gareth Kiernan๐Ÿ•“ 6 min
Analysis

From the beach 2026

From the Beach 2026
Analysis

From the beach 2026

After two years of sluggish activity, households under pressure, and repeatedly deferred expectations of recovery, 2026 is shaping up as a pivotal year for the New Zealand economy.
Wed 28 Jan 2026Gareth Kiernan๐Ÿ•“ 5 min
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Analysis

Are we (kinda) seeing the economy turn?

Green Light on Lambton Quay in 2025
Analysis

Are we (kinda) seeing the economy turn?

A stream of end-of-year data coming through shows, on the surface, a generally more upbeat view of the economy.
Fri 23 Jan 2026Brad Olsen๐Ÿ•“ 4 min