Adolf Stroombergen

Gareth Kiernan

Alistair Schorn

Brad Olsen

Paul Barkle

Rob Heyes

Nick Brunsdon

Andrew Beattie

Joel Glynn

Sabrina Swerdloff

Matthew Allman

Webinar

Econ talk

Forecast in five

Regional and tourism differences

<ul><li data-block-key="22jkn">Is the worst finally behind New Zealand's economy?</li><li data-block-key="61kkg">How much has the Middle East conflict changed New Zealand's outlook?</li><li data-block-key="cscgq">What's standing between now and a lasting recovery?</li></ul><a href="/article/2026-07-moderating-fuel-prices-open-road-to-recovery" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">Read the forecast story</a>

Forecast in five - July 2026

<ul><li data-block-key="2ecw2">How much has the Middle East conflict changed New Zealand's economic outlook?</li><li data-block-key="dtuns">Could higher fuel prices force interest rates even higher?</li><li data-block-key="5al2i">How long will New Zealand's economic recovery be pushed back?</li></ul><a href="/article/2026-04-fuel-shock-stalls-recovery-before-it-has-started" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">Read the forecast story</a>

Forecast in five - April 2026

<ul><li data-block-key="9h4en">Why hasn't lower interest rates delivered the recovery many expected? </li><li data-block-key="48sbv">Are businesses and consumers ready to believe in the recovery? </li><li data-block-key="6upel">Could inflation or politics derail New Zealand's 2026 outlook?</li></ul><a href="/article/2026-01-convincing-ourselves-of-a-recovery" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">Read the forecast story</a>

Forecast in five - January 2026

Infometrics CE and Principal Economist Brad Olsen, Chief Forecaster Gareth Kiernan, and Economist Matthew Allman discuss the latest OCR decision and provide an overview of what has happened in the economy in 2025.

Reviewing the RBNZ Call – and 2025 recap

Infometrics CE and Principal Economist Brad Olsen and Economist Matthew Allman discuss the latest transport trends.

Transport Trends

Infometrics CE and Principal Economist Brad Olsen, Chief Forecaster Gareth Kiernan, and Economist Matthew Allman discuss the Government’s 2025 Budget.

Budget 2025

Infometrics Chief Forecaster Gareth Kiernan and Economist Matthew Allman provide an updated view on the effects of the emerging trade war, instigated by US President Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs on imports into the US. Gareth and Matt will discuss the evolving outlook for world growth and give an assessment of the effects for the New Zealand economy, following the release of Infometrics’ latest forecasts earlier in April.

An NZ perspective on the trade war

This month – Monday 24 March 2025 (11am) – Infometrics Chief Executive and Principal Economist Brad Olsen, Chief Forecaster Gareth Kiernan, and Economist Matthew Allman discuss the latest global economic trends amid increased uncertainty. US President Donald Trump has continued to ratchet up tension globally amid a flurry of tariff announcements, across both specific countries and also for targeted products. Brad, Gareth, and Matthew will analyse how these announcements might affect global economic growth and what it means for New Zealand, including what areas of the economy are most vulnerable.As always, there will be time for questions at the end of the webinar – these webinars are exclusive to Infometrics clients, giving you the opportunity to hear directly from our economics team, and pose questions for them to answer.

Global trends and uncertainty

Chief Executive and Principal Economist Brad Olsen, Chief Forecaster Gareth Kiernan, and Economist Matthew Allman discuss the current global economic situation, and likely global economic growth expectations for 2025 and into the future. 

The team will discuss how New Zealand’s exports have been performing, and what might lie ahead. With the recent re-election of US President Donald Trump (from January 2025), the team examine some of the incoming President’s proposed policies, including lower taxes, more deregulation, and tariffs on imports, and what those policies may mean for global growth. They also touch on US foreign policy and how that might affect international relations, given current ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the Middle East.

Brad, Gareth, and Matthew also provide an update on the Chinese economy and other trends across Asia, which is a key trade area for New Zealand exporters.

Where next for trade?

Fresh from the Budget Lock-Up the week before, Infometrics Chief Executive and Principal Economist Brad Olsen and Economist Matthew Allman are joined by Chief Forecaster Gareth Kiernan to break down Budget 2024, including key government policy and spending announcements, fiscal and economic forecasts, and tax changes. Brad, Matthew, and Gareth detail what the government’s Budget means for monetary policy and the economic outlook, and how some of the budget announcements might influence different sectors and regions.

Videos