Non-residential building consents

Public building driving consents

Our take on the latest Non-residential building consents (Thu 2 Feb 2023)

Value of non-res consents
$856m
In December 2022
Consents up 13%pa in year to December 2022
Annual hospital consents reach $1.4b

The key numbers...

  • Non-residential building consents totalled $856m in December 2022, up 9%pa from December 2021. This result brought total annual consents in 2022 to $9.5b, 13% higher than annual consents in 2021.
  • There was $243m worth of hospital consents issued in December 2022, accounting for over a quarter of the total value of December’s non-residential contents. There was also $141m of education consents, $106m of warehouse consents, and $92m of social, cultural, and religious building consents.
  • Hospital consents were $137m (130%pa) higher than in December 2021, and social and cultural consents grew by $52m (134%pa). However, factory consent values have continued to decline in December 2022, down $113m (63%pa) from December 2021. There was a $73m fall in consent values in Manawatu-Wanganui from December 2021 and a $26m decline in Auckland. December was another strong month for the Canterbury region, with $113m consented for alterations to Waipapa Christchurch Hospital, and $25m consented for a partial rebuild of Riccarton High School.

Public consents lifting non-res

Annual running total, $m
4474

...and our reaction

  • Public consents are an increasing proportion of total non-residential consent values, lifting from 22% in January 2022, to 38% in December 2022. As well as factory consents, retail and farm consents have stalled, falling 34%pa and 42%pa respectively. It appears that high interest rates and recession fears are having an immediate effect dampening private business activity, while large public projects in the hospital and social building space go ahead.
  • Momentum in office building consents could also be taking a hit as investment intentions soften across New Zealand. Office building consents were up 65%pa in the three months to December 2022, but this is much lower than the 150%pa increase seen in the three months to October 2022.
  • We can expect that high building costs will keep the value of non-residential consents elevated in the near term. However, as central and local government come under funding pressures and embark on a more restrained fiscal programme, further social building plans may be postponed.