Residential building consents

Townhouse consents strong, consents for other dwellings soft

31 Aug 2022

Our take on the latest Residential building consents (Wed 31 Aug 2022)

Annual dwelling consents
50,614
As at July 2022
House consents down 25% from July 2021
Townhouse consents up 48% from July 2021

The key numbers...

  • Seasonally adjusted dwelling consent numbers rose 5.0% from June 2022, but the annual total fell by 122 consents to 50,614.
  • Consents for standalone houses were the weakest build type again in July, falling 25%pa. However, consents for retirement units and apartments were also down significantly in July, by 20% and 21%pa respectively.
  • Townhouses continue to be the strongest segment of dwelling consents, up 48% from July 2021, with 20,783 townhouse consents issued in the year. Houses still made up a larger share of consents over the year ended July 2022, totalling 23,327 consents, but with annual house consents falling again in July, the gap is closing.
  • Despite clear signs of slowing consent numbers, the value of consents rose 7%pa in July, likely on the back of high residential construction costs. The cost of constructing dwellings and outbuildings increased 18% over the year to June 2022.
  • Wellington, Auckland, and Canterbury all reported more consents in the year to July 2022 than the same period last year, up 11%, 5%, and 3%pa respectively. Consents were very weak in the three months to July compared to a year earlier in Taranaki, Nelson, and Gisborne, where consents fell 34%, 31%, and 25%pa respectively.

Townhouse consent growth continues to accelerate

Annual % changes
4330

...and our reaction

  • The strength of townhouse consents, which are particularly buoyant compared to consents for standalone houses, is no surprise in July. Economic factors, such as lower housing affordability and higher interest rates, continue to push purchasers towards smaller, higher-density housing.
  • Provincial New Zealand is experiencing a faster drop off in residential consent numbers, with the largest urban areas still showing at least a small level of positive growth. Excluding Auckland, Wellington, and Christchurch, nine of New Zealand’s 13 remaining regions recorded declining dwelling consents in the three months to July 2022, compared to the three months to July 2021.
  • As noted above, residential construction costs rose 18%pa in June, so a 7% increase in the total value of consents over the year to July indicates that the real value of consents is falling markedly.