Non-residential building consents

Auckland continues to dominate non-res consents

3 May 2022

Our take on the latest Non-residential building consents (Tue 3 May 2022)

Value of non-res consents
$998
In March 2022
Consents grew 30%pa in Mar 2022
Auckland consent values grew 193%pa

The key numbers...

  • Total non-residential consents were worth $998m in March, the largest monthly total on record.
  • The value of non-residential building consents rose 30%pa in the March month, leaving March quarter consents up 17%pa.
  • Non-residential consents have been strong for most build types, with only hotel consents being lower over the last 12 months compared to the previous year.
  • Some of the strongest build types in March were education ($188m), warehouses ($162m), and offices ($181m).
  • Non-residential consents in Auckland were worth $430m in March and accounted for 99% of annual growth. Non-residential consent growth in Auckland for the March quarter was 60%pa.

Non-res consents

Annual running total, $m
4240

...and our reaction

  • March was a strong month for non-residential consents, with Auckland leading the growth, although the rest of New Zealand wasn’t necessarily weak.
  • Higher construction costs mean that the real growth in consent volumes will be lower. But with an estimated 8.3%pa cost escalation in the March quarter for non-residential work and nominal consent values rising 30%pa, underlying expected building volumes remain considerably higher than a year ago.
  • Businesses will be keenly watching high building costs at the same time as interest rate rises and reflecting on the viability of future projects.  The 50-basis point increase in the official cash rate by the Reserve Bank in April, and expectations of continued raises, might limit further investment over the next 1-2 years.