Non-residential building consents

Strong year boosted by fiscal stimulus

4 Feb 2022

Our take on the latest Non-residential building consents (Fri 4 Feb 2022)

Value of non-res consents
$768m
In Dec 2021
Consents grew 16%pa in 2021
Public consents grew 42%pa in 2021

The key numbers...

  • Non-residential building consents grew 12%pa in December. Annual non-res consents for 2021 totalled $8.2b, 16% more than the value of 2020 consents.
  • After adjusting for building cost inflation, the 2021 year was one of the strongest on record for non-residential construction, and it was just below the peak levels of consents reached in the middle of 2019.
  • Public consents led the charge during this unpredictable year, growing 42%pa, while 7.2% growth in the value of private consent consents was barely ahead of building cost inflation.
  • There has been over a billion dollars of hospital consents in 2021, nearly double the value of 2020.
  • Factories and education building consents have also seen strong growth in 2021, up 63% and 22%pa respectively.
  • Offices (up 3.7%) and retail (up 3.3%) saw minimal growth in 2021 and are down from 2019 levels.
  • The strongest regional performer for non-residential consents was Taranaki, with $348m worth of consents in 2021, which was nearly four times the 2020 value, underpinned by the redevelopment of Taranaki Base Hospital.
  • Bay of Plenty, Canterbury, and Hawkes Bay also saw large increases in consent values in 2021, growing 57%, 48%, and 48%pa, respectively.

Public consents boost non-res

Annual running total, $m
4163

...and our reaction

  • Non-residential building consents grew remarkably in 2021. However, looking at the build types shows disparities between how different industries are coping with the current business climate.
  • Very low interest rates have encouraged opportunists, particularly in factory builds, while the pandemic-induced recession has seen the government progress large-scale public investment in health and education building.
  • Accommodation building has been severely hamstrung by uncertainty relating to lockdowns and closed borders. Activity in retail and office building has also been dampened.
  • Looking forward, rising interest rates could slow down the number of new building projects, although more clarity on the border situation is encouraging for the tourism sector.