Non-residential building consents

Non-residential consents healthy going into Lockdown 2.0

31 Aug 2021

Our take on the latest Non-residential building consents (Tue 31 Aug 2021)

Value of non-res consents
$699m
In July 2021
Consents up 23% from June (seasonally adjusted)
Factory consents up 74%pa in three months to July

The key numbers...

  • The value of non-residential consents grew 14% in July 2021 from a year earlier. This strong month helped to offset weakness in June, bringing activity for the three months to July up 5.3% on the same period a year prior. 
  • Comparing to a year ago includes some post-lockdown volatility, so to understand the underlying trend, it’s best to compare to pre-pandemic times. The value of non-residential consents in the three months to July 2021 is 17% higher than the same period in 2019.
  • When compared to pre-pandemic times, the strongest growth in non-residential consents over the past three months has come from office, education, and storage buildings. These three build types are up by $100m, $79m, and $73m respectively when compared to the same period in 2019.

Value of non-residential consents

Annual total, $m
4018

...and our reaction

  • Non-residential consents have shown a lot of underlying strength over the past year. As the economy has bounced back, business confidence and investment intentions have returned and with them, improved non-residential consents.
  • Based on the experience of last April’s lockdown, businesses can have more confidence that economic activity will bounce back to normal as we move back down alert levels. As a result, we expect less volatility in the numbers than last year. 
  • Before the latest Delta outbreak, capacity constraints were a major concern for transforming building intentions into activity, which was evident in rapidly growing building costs. 
  • Supply chain disruptions and a tight labour market will persist after this latest outbreak, continuing cost pressures in the building industry.