Non-residential building consents

Non-res weak in the big cities

1 Jun 2021

Our take on the latest Non-residential building consents (Tue 1 Jun 2021)

Value of non-res consents
$543m
In April 2021
Consent value fell 16% (seasonally adjusted)
Non-residential consents weak in urban centres

The key numbers...

  • There was a total of $543m non-residential consents in April, which is 16% lower than March (seasonally adjusted). However, now that April 2020 has dropped out of the annual figures, the value of non-residential consents in the year to April 2021 is sitting higher than pre-pandemic levels.
  • Non-residential consent activity is much higher compared with lockdown a year ago, with consent values over the previous three months being 50%pa higher. However, the value of non-residential consents is 12% lower when compared with the same pre-pandemic period in 2019.
  • Education building consents were the standout build type, with $151m of consents in April 2021.
  • Warehouse, retail, and office building consents have been weak recently, down 41%, 25% and 18% respectively, over the past three months when compared to the same period in 2019.
  • Consent values in Auckland, Wellington and Canterbury have been weak recently, down 36%, 31% and 29% respectively, over the past three months when compared to the same period in 2019.

Urban centres a drag on non-res consents

3 months to April 2021 vs 3 months to April 2019
3940

...and our reaction

  • Non-residential consents have been showing considerable strength and momentum from August 2020 onwards, all things considered. As non-residential consents are relatively volatile, it is important not to place too much weight on one bad result.
  • Non-residential consents have been catching up over the past year as many investors in early 2020 were scared off by the uncertainty of the pandemic.
  • Our three main urban centres (Auckland, Wellington, and Christchurch) have been areas of relative weakness in recent times. However other parts of the country have been boosted by large projects, lifting the value of non-residential consents.
  • A lot of resilience in non-residential consents in recent times can be attributed to public consents. The recent budget indicated further spending on education and health assets.