Non-residential building consents

Strong factory consent boosts non-res numbers

6 May 2021

Our take on the latest Non-residential building consents (Thu 6 May 2021)

Value of non-res consents
$770m
In April 2021
$106m factory consent in Tauranga
Non-residential consents up 6.1% from February (seas adj)

The key numbers...

  • There was a total of $770m worth of non-residential consents in March 2021, up 6.1% from February (seasonally adjusted). 
  • Both factory and office building consents were strong contributors to growth in March. Factory consents’ share of the total value rose to 22% in March from 12% in February, while office consents grew to 15% from 10% of total consents.
  • The strongest region in March was the Bay of Plenty region, with consent values up 98% on March 2019 levels and taking the region’s share of total activity to 20%, up from a mere 5% in February. 
  • A $106m factory consent in Tauranga was the key factor of this incredible result.

The sectors to watch

Contribution to annual % change, three months ended Mar-21
3928

...and our reaction

  • The impacts of COVID-19 were beginning to show through in March 2020 (when consents fell 36%pa) making a comparison of March 2021 to a year ago difficult and a misrepresentation of strength.
  • However, despite misleading annual percentage changes, non-residential building consents were strong in March 2021 on a seasonally adjusted basis, continuing to show increased confidence and momentum in the economy. 
  • In coming months, the impact of COVID-19 and the sharp hit to confidence and investment intentions will continue to artificially inflate the annual growth of non-residential consents. 
  • However, we have been beginning to notice a return in momentum and confidence in the non-residential building industry, but capacity constraints and cost pressures could limit on this rebound.