Residential building consents

Roaring Auckland consents accelerate ahead

14 Jan 2021

Our take on the latest Residential building consents (Thu 14 Jan 2021)

New dwelling consents up 20%pa
Consents in Auckland up 55%pa
House consents break their falling streak

The key numbers...

  • Total new dwelling consents rose 20%pa in November, with the 3,881 new consents making November the second highest month on record, behind only October 1973 (4,081 consents). 
  • Auckland was responsible for the lion’s share of growth, with total consents up 55%pa. Growth was incredibly strong in apartments, townhouses, and retirement building, up 132%, 131%, and 88%pa respectively. New house consents were the only type to disappoint in Auckland, falling 7.5%pa.  
  • House consents managed to break their falling streak, with consents in the three months to November sitting 3.0%pa higher, the first positive result since lockdown. 
  • Although many areas showed continued strength, Wellington consents continued on a weaker path, down 21%pa in November.

Consent growth

Year-end annual % changes
3792

...and our reaction

  • Auckland consents continue to grow strongly, assisted by the Unitary Plan, the continued housing shortage, and the resulting strength in house prices. 
  • The incredibly hot housing market is obviously encouraging new building activity in the market, with consents remaining near, and inching closer, to all-time record highs. 
  • We expect consents will likely remain elevated in the near term, as heat from the housing translates into support for new builds, particularly as interest rates are sitting at record low levels.