Non-residential building consents

An anomaly in accommodation consents

14 Jan 2021

Our take on the latest Non-residential building consents (Thu 14 Jan 2021)

Value of non-res consents
$703m
In November 2020
Hotel consents grew by $100m
Private consents rise 14.5% in November

The key numbers...

  • The value of Non-residential consents grew 9.3%pa in November, taking growth over the last three months 4.5%pa higher.
  • A large hotel consent in Auckland Central worth $100m has helped boost hotel consents to $125m in November. This level of consents is the largest monthly value of hotel consents since March 2017 – a curiosity given the recent reports of 40% falls to hotel venues.
  • Warehouse and education building consents were other areas of strength, contributing $125m and $169m each.
  • Retail and hotels, and hostel building are subgroups that have been soft recently, down 25%, 51%, and 83%pa over the three months to November, respectively.
  • Driven in part by the large hotel consent value, private consents were up 15%pa in November, but public consents were down 2.7%.

Contribution to annual % change

3-month annual % change
3793

...and our reaction

  • Contrary to recent months, the private sector outperformed the public sector in growth of non-residential consents, but the trend for the year is still of public consent dominance.
  • The large hotel consent in Auckland is unusual given the current circumstances, although vaccine advances in development should slowly rebuild confidence in accommodation spending.
  • Retail and hostel building consents both falling gives a better reflection of how the lack of international travel is affecting confidence in New Zealand commercial development.