Residential building consents

New house consents holding up strongly

2 Nov 2020

Our take on the latest Residential building consents (Mon 2 Nov 2020)

New dwelling consents rose 7.7%pa in September
New houses jumped 18%pa in September
Apartments and retirement units falling away

The key numbers...

  • Total residential consents grew 3.6% from August (seasonally adjusted), to sit 7.7%pa higher than a year prior.
  • Strength in townhouses and standalone houses was responsible for the growth in residential consents, with the numbers of new dwelling approvals sitting 26% and 18% higher than a year prior, respectively.
  • Apartment and retirement building consents were particularly weak, falling by 34%pa and 33%pa in September.
  • Eleven regions across the country all saw declines in the number of consents, with sizable falls occurring in Otago and Wellington. However, this weakness seen across the country was offset by Auckland, where residential building consents rose 52%pa in September.

Attached dwelling consents

Annual running total
3771

...and our reaction

  • The hot housing market is evident in residential consents, with strong demand and rapidly growing house prices encouraging more residential building activity.
  • We expect the number of new consents to start to decline in the coming year as demand falters from an eventual weakening in house price growth, and the closed borders temper population growth.
  • The new-found ability to work from home, and ever-present threat of another lockdown, has stifled demand for inner city apartments as prospective homeowners look for somewhere with more space and are open to living outside of main cities. 
  • It appears retirement buildings are currently on hold to wait out the storm of COVID-19. However, looking forward a couple of years, we expect retirement consents to be back in full swing as activity gears back up to cater for New Zealand’s ever-growing elderly population.