Non-residential building consents

Fiscal stimulus propping up construction

2 Nov 2020

Our take on the latest Non-residential building consents (Mon 2 Nov 2020)

Value of non-res consents
$758m
In Setember 2020
Total non-residential consents grew 23%pa in September
Social, cultural, and religious consents grew $124m in September

The key numbers...

  • The value of non-residential consents rose 23%pa in September, although year-end consents are still down 7.6%.
  • Public sector consents grew 137% in September to $254m, vastly outperforming private sector consents, which softened 1.3%pa.
  • Hotels and hostels were the only building types to see declines, together dropping $101m (or 69%) from September 2019.
  • Social, cultural, and religious consents were valued at $146m, more than six times their September 2019 total, driven mainly by a $70m city convention centre consent in Wellington.

Value of consents granted

Year-end % change
3772

...and our reaction

  • Considering the lack of building activity related to tourism, non-residential consent values are relatively buoyant otherwise.
  • Expectations that the government will open the purse strings on large projects to stimulate the economy during a recession are starting to come through, in contrast to previous months when public sector consents were falling away while the private sector proved surprisingly resilient.
  • We expect private consents to soften over the next year, driven by the hole in tourism and concern in the retail and office building space.