Non-residential building consents

No need for new accommodation buildings

1 Sept 2020

Our take on the latest Non-residential building consents (Tue 1 Sept 2020)

Value of non-res consents
$592m
In July 2020
Accommodation consents down 70%pa in July
Auckland and Canterbury the weakest regions

The key numbers...

  • The value of non-residential consents fell $65m in July, with building approvals sitting 9.9% lower than a year ago. 
  • The value of consents contracted for almost all build types, except education and storage buildings. 
  • Education building consents were particularly strong, up $147m (302%pa) in July, focussed in Waikato and Northland Regions, which were up $60m and $42m respectively from a year prior.
  • Hostels, boarding houses, prisons consents contracted the most in July, down $83m (-75%pa) from a year prior, followed by office buildings consents which fell by $41m (-40%pa).

The sectors to watch

Contribution to annual % change, three months ended Jul-20
3704

...and our reaction

  • July’s weak result comes off the back of an incredibly strong result in June, suggesting the strength of the prior month was just a short-term bounce back from the lockdown.  
  • With the borders closed to tourism, weakness in accommodation building consents was to be expected. Keep in mind that July 2020’s decline is exaggerated by a particularly strong result in July 2019, when $72m of funding was approved for a prison extension and new university accommodation. 
  • However, hostel, boarding house, and prison building consents are trending down, with the three months to July sitting 68%pa lower than the same period a year prior. 
  • We could expect to see weakness in non-residential consents in Auckland over the next few months, as recent restrictions have damaged confidence and hit businesses where it already hurt, reiterating the importance of survival over expansion.