Retail trade survey

Spending time (and money) on the couch

24 Aug 2020

Our take on the latest Retail trade survey (Mon 24 Aug 2020)

Retail volumes down 9.5%pa
Supermarket and liquor spending both up 17%pa
Spending on accommodation down 21%pa

The key numbers...

  • Retail trade volumes were down 9.5%pa in the June quarter, the largest fall on record.
  • Supermarket spending jumped 17%pa, as did liquor spending; non-store retailing grew 11%pa, with these categories being the most accessible during COVID-19 Alert Levels 3 and 4.
  • Spending on accommodation fell 21%pa; clothing, footwear, and accessories spending dropped 18%pa; and spending on food and beverage services fell 15%pa, as activity in these segments was severely constrained. 
  • For the same reasons, motor vehicles and parts retailing declined 17%pa.

Winners and Losers

Retail Spending by Category - June 2020 quarter (% change from June 2019 quarter)
3702

...and our reaction

  • Supermarket spending, the largest component of retail spending, more than doubled its growth rate from the March quarter, which was already a record.
  • Non-store and commission-based retailing grew 11%pa, showing a boost in online retailing due to restricted access to brick-and-mortar stores.
  • Spending on electrical and electronic goods increased 9.6%pa, with this sector also benefiting from increased online retail activity.
  • Spending on accommodation and food and beverage services will remain constrained in light of the continued border closure and absence of international tourists.
  • The extension of Auckland’s Level 3 lockdown, and the Level 2 restrictions for the rest of the country until at least September 6, will add to the burden on the retail sector.