Non-residential building consents

Lacklustre in August

30 Sept 2019

Our take on the latest Non-residential building consents (Mon 30 Sept 2019)

Value of non-res consents
$552m
As of August 2019
Total consents down 7.9%pa
Education consents up $78m from August 2018

The key numbers...

  • Non-residential consents values eased 7.9%pa in August, with total consents worth $47m less than a year prior. Of that reduction, $30m came from fewer public consents.
  • Education building consents, valued at $126m, accounted for 23% of all non-residential consents in August. The value of education building consents grew 161%pa in August.
  • Most of the growth in education building consents came from Auckland, where education consents totalled $83m. However, other major non-residential building consents values underperformed in Auckland, resulting in total consents valued at $43m less than in August 2018.
  • Otago was the only region to have a substantial increase in non-residential consent values, up 153%pa in August. Dunedin had $9m of consents in hotel-motel spending, while Queenstown-Lakes had boosts to commercial buildings ($8.4m), and shops, restaurants, and bars ($8.3m).

The sectors to watch

Contribution to annual % change, three months ended Aug-19
3385

...and our reaction

  • If it wasn’t for strong education building consents, August’s performance would have been terrible, particularly in Auckland.
  • Over the last decade, Auckland has been a large source of growth in non-residential consents, but recent months’ data is raising questions about whether Auckland’s vigour will continue.
  • Global growth expectations have been slowing markedly over the last year, undermining businesses’ willingness to invest, including in new buildings.