Non-residential building consents

Bounce back

30 Aug 2019

Our take on the latest Non-residential building consents (Fri 30 Aug 2019)

Value of non-resconsents
$658m
In July 2019
Hostel and prison consents up $106m from July 2017
Canterbury consents up 193%pa

The key numbers...

  • After a couple of months of disappointing results, non-residential consents grew 27%pa in July, with total consents worth $141m more than a year prior. However, it is important to note this result is down 1.9% from June (seasonally adjusted).
  • Most of this growth came from hostel and prison building, particularly in Christchurch, where consents were $89m higher than a year prior. This strong growth in the Garden City was due to a $39m university student hall and a $33m prison consent.
  • On the back of Christchurch, the Canterbury region contributed the most to growth this month, up $124m (a whopping 193%pa!). Consents in Auckland were the next strongest (but dull in comparison), with $30m more consents than a year ago, pushing activity in the region up 14%pa.

The sectors to watch

Contribution to annual % change, three months ended Jul-19
3366

...and our reaction

  • After a disappointing June quarter, July gives us a promising start to the next three months. Due to a number of projects in the pipeline, we expect this growth to carry through the rest of the quarter.
  • Despite the headline growth appearing strong, we are wary of growth in the industry, with economic conditions and general sentiment looking shaky.
  • Low business confidence and investment intentions will remain a major drag on future growth in the non-residential building industry.