Residential building consents

Auckland consent growth hits capacity constraints

11 Jan 2019

Our take on the latest Residential building consents (Fri 11 Jan 2019)

New dwelling consents
32,783
In the year to Nov 2018
Auckland res consents down 5%pa in the three months to Nov 2018
Residential consents grew 0.3%pa in the year to Nov 2018 for NZ excluding Akl and Chch

The key numbers...

  • Auckland building activity growth in 2019 looks set to hit capacity constraints, with lower consents over the last year pointing to a lack of additional labour, materials, land, and finance to grow new dwelling approvals further.
  • Restraint on further growth in Auckland’s construction market, coupled with a slowdown in denser housing consents, means that the undersupply of housing is expected to persist, even though population growth is slowing.

Auckland consents growth

Year-end % changes
3027

...and our reaction

  • Over the three months to November 2018, residential consents in Auckland fell 5%pa – the first fall since September 2017.
  • Attached dwelling consents in Auckland have been advancing at pace recently but slowed back to 19%pa in the year to November 2018 – the slowest growth in 18 months.
  • Outside of Auckland and Canterbury, consents across the rest of NZ look a little brighter, up 0.3%pa in the year to November 2018 – turning positive after three months of negative year-end growth.