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Analysis

Can labour force participation keep rising?

Factory floor
Analysis

Can labour force participation keep rising?

The labour force participation rate has been consistently rising over the past 30 years in New Zealand, providing a welcome boost to the labour supply. But can participation keep rising?
Fri 21 Feb 2025Nick Brunsdon🕓 6 min
Analysis

Population slow down, but growth still high

Auckland International Airport Arrivals Jan 2024
Analysis

Population slow down, but growth still high

Stats NZ released their latest subnational population estimates, providing us with an annual glimpse into how New Zealand’s population is growing around the country. In this article, we highlight the overall trends of the 2024 estimates and pull out interesting results from specific cities or districts.
Wed 30 Oct 2024Nick Brunsdon🕓 6 min
Analysis

Learning from past population decline

Ohura main street
Analysis

Learning from past population decline

The challenges of structural ageing and population decline are set to shine through again with subnational population estimates due next month. This article explores previous periods of population decline – looking at how effective migration is at holding back decline, how we should plan for decline, and what has happened to areas which have experienced population decline in our history.
Thu 19 Sept 2024Nick Brunsdon🕓 7 min
Analysis

NZ’s changing Asian population

Japanese Lucky Coin Cat
Analysis

NZ’s changing Asian population

New Zealanders’ knowledge of Asia is at an all-time high. In Asia New Zealand Foundation's annual New Zealanders' Perceptions of Asia 2024 survey, 59% percent of respondents to the 2024 survey reported knowing ‘at least a fair amount’ about Asia, up from just 33% ten years ago. Here we look at the numbers behind the rising Asian population and workforce in New Zealand.
Thu 29 Aug 2024Rob Heyes🕓 7 min
Analysis

How loyal is your population, and what affects loyalty?

Housing development at Flat Bush, Auckland
Analysis

How loyal is your population, and what affects loyalty?

In this article Nick Brunsdon explores the topic of population loyalty, by looking at Stats NZ’s Administrative Population Census (APC) data on usual residence one and five years ago.
Mon 29 Jul 2024Nick Brunsdon🕓 6 min
Analysis

World population to peak earlier, what this means for our migration

SS Rangitoto arrives in New Zealand
Analysis

World population to peak earlier, what this means for our migration

The United Nations released its biannual World Population Prospects earlier this month, a global population projection to the year 2100. In this article, we explore the latest projections for the world’s population, and what the trends might mean for New Zealand’s migration.
Thu 25 Jul 2024Nick Brunsdon🕓 5 min
Analysis

A record low fertility rate

Irmgard Ritche Kindergarten - Upper Hutt Publicity Caption: Numerous play facilities provide children with plenty of scope for their child's world of imagination
Analysis

A record low fertility rate

Migration is a persistently hot topic and tends to dominate discussion around trends in population growth, taking the limelight away from the other components of population change. However, New Zealand’s fertility rate recently reached a record low, so this article explores trends in fertility and what’s driving it.
Thu 27 Jun 2024Nick Brunsdon🕓 6 min
Analysis

Early insights from 2023 Census, and caution on population comparisons

Census pack with letter delivered by mail
Analysis

Early insights from 2023 Census, and caution on population comparisons

Last week Stats NZ released the first tranche of data from the 2023 Census, an exciting milestone for anyone with a thirst for regional or socioeconomic data. With the prior Census held in 2018, this represents the first Census data since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. In this article, we dive into the first tranche of data, explain why the good stuff is yet to come, and raise a note of caution for population comparisons with the first tranche of data.
Thu 6 Jun 2024Nick Brunsdon🕓 6 min
Analysis

What can we do about too much migration?

Half empty Tutaenui Reservoir, near Marton
Analysis

What can we do about too much migration?

Migration is a lot like rain. When we receive a lot of migration (or rain), having prepared and invested for it, and directed it into the most needed areas, it can make us all better off. Conversely, receiving more migration (or rain) than we are ready for, in the wrong places, can make things worse. Knowing it could rain but never buying a raincoat seems to be an unfortunately good analogy for how we currently seem to approach migration.
Thu 21 Mar 2024Nick Brunsdon🕓 7 min
Chart of the month

Fastest population growth since 1946

Plane-Wellington-Airport-February-2024
Chart of the month

Fastest population growth since 1946

Migration has become a hot topic over the last year, with a record high net migration gain. This large inflow of people into New Zealand has seen the population increase by 145,000 people once births and deaths are accounted for – slightly more than adding an additional Dunedin over the last year.
Wed 21 Feb 2024Brad Olsen🕓 3 min