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Analysis

What does Christmas shopping tell us about the economy?

Boxing Day 2024 Aftermath
Analysis

What does Christmas shopping tell us about the economy?

Boxing Day spending was big for 2024, but looking at the broader Christmas spending trends implies that shoppers are still conscious about how they’re spending, and it appears that shoppers are looking for bargains before being convinced to part with their cash.
Thu 9 Jan 2025Brad Olsen🕓 3 min
Analysis

First detailed insights from the 2023 Census

Census pack with letter delivered by mail
Analysis

First detailed insights from the 2023 Census

Stats NZ released the first detailed tranche of 2023 Census data today, including detail on individuals and households down to a small area level. In this article, we share ten insights from the 2023 Census.
Thu 3 Oct 2024Nick Brunsdon🕓 7 min
Analysis

Household cost-of-living pressures still biting

Shredded-Money-2022
Analysis

Household cost-of-living pressures still biting

In this article Principal Consultant, Rob Heyes, looks how households have fared with recent cost-of-living pressures. For many households, income growth has kept pace with cost increases. But there’s evidence that increasing numbers of households have been facing economic hardship since the start of the pandemic and are likely to continue to do so for the rest of this year at least.
Tue 30 Apr 2024Rob Heyes🕓 9 min
Chart of the month

Rental inflation is piping hot

Suburb seen rom Mount Eden Summit in Auckland
Chart of the month

Rental inflation is piping hot

Renters across New Zealand are feeling the squeeze as annual new rentals inflation reaches 5.1%pa. Excluding the mid-2022 peak, annual average rental inflation over the year to February 2024 is at its fastest rate since this series began in 2008.
Tue 26 Mar 2024Sabrina Swerdloff🕓 2 min
Analysis

Do green districts buy more EVs?

Napier_electric vehicle_2.jpg
Analysis

Do green districts buy more EVs?

Electric vehicle (EV) uptake in New Zealand has been accelerating over the last few years. Uptake was helped along with financial incentives including the Clean Car Discount scheme and the exemption of EVs from paying road user charges (RUC). With the discount scheme gone and EV owners about to start paying RUC, the trajectory is likely to change.
Mon 25 Mar 2024Andrew Whiteford🕓 5 min
Analysis

Trimming the fat is not a painless exercise

Analysis

Trimming the fat is not a painless exercise

We economists can be a tactless bunch. Last week’s announcement that the economy had contracted for the fourth time in five quarters was greeted with comments about how the recession was necessary, and that the extent of the contraction only highlighted to serve how overheated...
Mon 25 Mar 2024Gareth Kiernan🕓 4 min
Analysis

How inflation has changed spending patterns

North Island supermarket chiller - June 2023
Analysis

How inflation has changed spending patterns

High inflation in recent years has prompted much discussion about how households are adjusting their spending to cope. Although wages have been increasing too, meaning that households can also afford more, we haven’t had a clear idea of the changing preferences and priorities that dictate what households are spending more or less on.
Mon 25 Mar 2024Brad Olsen🕓 6 min
Analysis

Wholesale interest rates just plunged – what does that mean?

A blue neon sign on a black wall
Analysis

Wholesale interest rates just plunged – what does that mean?

Wholesale interest rates fell sharply last week, with the two-year swap rate falling 29 basis points on 14 December. Rates are now sitting at a nine-month low, adding downward pressure to retail interest rates.
Thu 21 Dec 2023Sabrina Swerdloff🕓 4 min
Analysis

Finding patterns in domestic migration

City skyline during night time
Analysis

Finding patterns in domestic migration

This article explores recent patterns in domestic or internal migration between 2021 and 2022 using a new dataset from Stats NZ, exploring potential factors that shape the flow of Kiwis throughout the country.
Tue 28 Nov 2023Sabrina Swerdloff🕓 5 min
Analysis

Why we shouldn’t ignore the migration outflow

Analysis

Why we shouldn’t ignore the migration outflow

Record high net migration over the past year has been a lifeboat for New Zealand’s economic growth, dominating recent trends in employment, housing demand, and demography. Quarterly net migration is now beginning to soften from its early 2023 peak as migrant arrivals grow slower, and departures from New Zealand accelerate.
Thu 23 Nov 2023Sabrina Swerdloff🕓 4 min