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Analysis
What’s holding the housing market back?

Analysis
What’s holding the housing market back?
The housing market has attracted plenty of attention in recent months. Housing Minister Chris Bishop’s desire for falling house prices was at odds with the Prime Minister’s hope for “modest, consistent” increases in house prices, with the latter seemingly buying into the view that the economy will struggle to grow if the housing market is stagnant.
Chart of the month
Demand not so hot for rare NZ stamp

Chart of the month
Demand not so hot for rare NZ stamp
New Zealand’s rarest stamp, the upside-down Lake Taupō, has changed hands again, but its modest long-term return highlights how investment performance can vary widely. As our Chart of the Month shows, some assets have delivered far stronger growth over the same period, even after accounting for inflation.
Media release
Additional stimulus drives faster growth, but also creates interest rate risks in 2027

Media release
Additional stimulus drives faster growth, but also creates interest rate risks in 2027
The Reserve Bank is walking a fine line between kick-starting the economy’s recovery and overstimulating growth by the end of next year, according to Infometrics’ latest forecasts.
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Analysis
Paving the way for more construction imports

Analysis
Paving the way for more construction imports
In July, the government moved to streamline regulations around standards for building materials. The changes effectively recognise several overseas standards for building products as being suitable for application in New Zealand, including standards from Australia, Canada, Europe, the UK, and the US.
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Analysis
Chris Bishop is gaslighting you

Analysis
Chris Bishop is gaslighting you
At Infrastructure New Zealand’s Building Nations conference in early August, Infrastructure Minister Chris Bishop reportedly denied that the government had pulled back from infrastructure and building, deepening the construction downturn.
Analysis
Transport costs ease as weak demand hampers recovery

Analysis
Transport costs ease as weak demand hampers recovery
Most costs for transport operators declined in the June quarter, with only unchanged road user charges and a modest increase in labour costs bucking the falls.
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Analysis
The housing market and renovations: understanding regional variations

Analysis
The housing market and renovations: understanding regional variations
Mortgage rates, income growth, and house sales activity: the three underlying influences on residential alterations and additions (A&A) activity – more commonly known as renovations.
Media release
Export prices and interest rates cement economy’s recovery in 2026

Media release
Export prices and interest rates cement economy’s recovery in 2026
Although volatility remains a central part of the global economic and geopolitical environment, international financial markets have shaken off the worst of their fears and are becoming less pessimistic about the outlook for growth.
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Analysis
Subdued housing market suggests residential construction confidence is overblown

Analysis
Subdued housing market suggests residential construction confidence is overblown
After hovering at close to zero throughout the first half of last year, expectations for residential construction activity from ANZ’s Business Outlook strengthened from July 2024 – as did many other indicators in the survey of business sentiment.
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Analysis
Migration trends affect both demand and supply for construction

Analysis
Migration trends affect both demand and supply for construction
Net migration is one of the big uncertainties currently when trying to forecast future residential construction activity levels.